Coronavirus: What’s happening in Canada and around the world on Friday

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The latest:

  • Canada could see 20,000 COVID-19 cases per day by end of year, new modelling shows.
  • Ontario premier to announce ‘tough’ new measures in COVID-19 hot spots today.
  • Quebec has outlined its guidelines for the holidays — see what the experts say here.
  • New restrictions on private gatherings take effect in Manitoba.
  • Have a coronavirus question or news tip for CBC News? Email us at COVID@cbc.ca.

New modelling to be released Friday morning shows Canada could see 20,000 COVID-19 cases per day by the end of the year if people maintain their current number of personal contacts. Meanwhile, Ontario is set to announce new public health restrictions in its hardest-hit areas.

CBC News has seen the modelling charts prepared by the Public Health Agency of Canada, which also project a worse-case scenario of 60,000 a day by the end of December if Canadians increase their current level of contact with other people.

Conversely, limiting interactions to essential activities while maintaining physical distancing and adhering to other public health guidelines could bring that number to under 10,000 cases a day by that time, according to the modelling.

Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam will offer detailed projections on potential infections and deaths at 9 a.m. ET Friday.

Meanwhile, Ontario is expected to issue more stringent restrictions for its COVID-19 hot spots — Toronto, and Peel and York regions — as Premier Doug Ford says there are “difficult but necessary decisions to make.”

At a press conference on Thursday, the premier didn’t specify what those measures would be as they still needed to go before cabinet, saying only that they will have to be “tough” in the hardest-hit areas.

Dr. Lawrence Loh, Peel’s medical officer of health, said he thinks further closures and restrictions are warranted at this time to “reduce the number of contacts and interactions” occurring in the region.

WATCH | Further restrictions needed in Peel Region, says medical officer of health:

Dr. Lawrence Loh says “some sort of pause” is necessary for Peel Region to curb its daily growth in COVID-19 cases. 2:08

Ontario reported another 1,210 cases of COVID-19 and 28 more deaths on Thursday, with Toronto and Peel Region each seeing over 300 of those cases.

While the number of people in hospitals with COVID-19 fell by nine to 526, admissions to intensive care jumped considerably up to 146, an increase of 19, with 88 of those people on ventilators.


What’s happening across Canada

Canada’s COVID-19 case count — as of 7 a.m. ET Friday — stood at 315,753, with 52,194 of those considered active cases. A CBC News tally of deaths based on provincial reports, regional health information and CBC’s reporting stood at 11,265.

In Atlantic Canada, New Brunswick has moved the Moncton health region back to the stricter orange phase due to the growing number of cases in that region.

The province reported four new…



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